NETRANTA · HOW THIS WAS FORMED

Forecast provenance

The lineage of one forecast — origin, claim, outcome, and the calibration it moved. Open at the full prediction ↗.

Origin

Authored directly by @m21_coupling_demo

Netranta does not assert an upstream causal chain for directly-authored forecasts — only the origin it can verify is shown.

Forecast

[M21-DEMO] ETH follows BTC above 5k this quarter

50% · resolves by 2026-08-10 · Ethereum · @m21_coupling_demo · stated May 2, 2026

Resolves on: Demo criterion — open downstream Read.

Outcome

Open — resolves by 2026-08-10.

Calibration impact

No calibration impact until the forecast resolves.

Provenance is a public transparency surface (charter §1.4, §1.8). Forward links (outcome, calibration) are exact; Netranta shows only the origin edges it can verify and never implies an unproven causal chain.