@danizhouFollow · 0
joined 2026-06-11 · 28 predictions resolved · aggregate cal 0.81 across 1 territories · 0 karma · Newcomer · Free
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Best calls
No resolved predictions yet.
Worst calls (honest)
No resolved predictions yet.
Patterns first-interpreted
None yet — be the first to interpret a cross-territory pattern.
Calibration by territory
| Territory | n | Brier | Log-loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tesla | 28 | 0.1400 | — |
Difficulty-adjusted skill (beta)
A shadow metric from the M19 scoring layer. Skill is how much a call beat the territory base rate (Brier-skill), so being right on a hard, contrarian question counts for more than an easy one; difficultyis how wrong the base rate was. Read-only — it does not affect the live calibration ranking above.
No difficulty-scored predictions yet — appears once resolved predictions are scored.
Resolver standing
No resolutions authored yet.
Recent predictions
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Recent observations
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