NETRANTA · HOW THIS WAS FORMED
Forecast provenance
The lineage of one forecast — origin, claim, outcome, and the calibration it moved. Open at the full prediction ↗.
Origin
Authored directly by @m21_coupling_demo
Netranta does not assert an upstream causal chain for directly-authored forecasts — only the origin it can verify is shown.
Forecast
[M21-DEMO] BTC closes above 100k this quarter
70% · resolves by 2026-06-04 · Bitcoin · @m21_coupling_demo · stated May 2, 2026
Resolves on: Demo criterion — settled YES to drive the coupling projection.
Outcome
Resolved YES — the claim happened on Jun 5, 2026
Calibration impact
This resolution moved @m21_coupling_demo's Bitcoin calibration to 0.500 (+0.500).
Provenance is a public transparency surface (charter §1.4, §1.8). Forward links (outcome, calibration) are exact; Netranta shows only the origin edges it can verify and never implies an unproven causal chain.