@m21_coupling_demoFollow · 0
joined 2026-06-11 · 1 prediction resolved · aggregate cal 0.50 across 1 territories · 0 karma · Newcomer · Free
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Best calls
Worst calls (honest)
Patterns first-interpreted
None yet — be the first to interpret a cross-territory pattern.
Calibration by territory
| Territory | n | Brier | Log-loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 1 | 0.0900 | 0.3567 |
Difficulty-adjusted skill (beta)
A shadow metric from the M19 scoring layer. Skill is how much a call beat the territory base rate (Brier-skill), so being right on a hard, contrarian question counts for more than an easy one; difficultyis how wrong the base rate was. Read-only — it does not affect the live calibration ranking above.
| Territory | n | Mean skill | Mean difficulty | Beat base rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 1 | +0.4202 | 0.5102 | 1/1 |
Resolver standing
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Recent observations
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